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. . ... . ..... . . . . . . . . _..,._ .__.._. :... . . .___ .. ._._. .... .. . . . .. _ .._.. _. .. _.. .. I: : ... ...__. __... <br />Mid-Yea� Budget Review <br />January 9, 1999 <br />Page 5 of 8 <br />would have been required to set aside funds to pay off the assessment district and the <br />write-dovcm amount anyway. <br />As always, Agency staff will seek funding support from outside agencies for current <br />projects so that the low/mod funds committed thereto may be released to minimize the <br />negative ca�hflows. <br />Mt Vernon Project Area <br />The Mount Vernon Project Area has experienced substantial growth in values over the <br />last two years, with increases of 10.4% in 1998 and 1 �.8% in 1999. The completion of <br />various housing projects produced the gains. This growth allows Mount Vernon to <br />consider the issuance of bonds for the first time. The growthrate should moderate <br />somewhat in the future since the various housing projects have sold out. <br />The cashflo�v forecast assumes that the Agency issues bonds for $5.5 million during this <br />fiscal year. After issuance costs, about $4.9 million will be available for projects. The <br />cashflaws a�sume $2.4 million of that amount is loaned to the low/mod fund to help retire <br />the 1996 Notes and AD 94-1, leaving approximately $2.S million for projects. As <br />Rancho Mediterrania sells out, Mount Vemon will receive an estimated $0.9 million in <br />loan repayments over the next 2-3 years. Consequently, this project area can consider a <br />$3.4 million short-term program with the remaining $2 million recovery predicated on <br />the Agency's success in revitalizing its housing fund. The Project Area Committee <br />should commence project prioritization with this figure in rnind. <br />West Valle �� Project Area <br />The West Valley Project is experiencing slightly negative trends in assessed values, <br />principally due to the lack of development and decreasing assessments upon property <br />transfers: However, this project azea should secure substantial long-term growth due to <br />the influence of the hospital and the large stock of vacant or underutilized properties, <br />assuming that environmental issues do not impede private development. <br />The cashflow assumes that the Agency issues bonds secured by the tax increments from <br />this project area in the amount of $3 million. Of this amount, approximately $850,000 <br />would be irnmediately avaiiable for projects with the balance escrowed until such time as <br />the tax increments can support the additional debt (projected for 2003/04). The initial <br />bond proceeds are largely committed to the LJ Snow Ford Project with future drawdowns <br />shown as committed for public improvements. This project will run very tight cashflows <br />until such time as newprivate development generates value. This project suffers from <br />relatively high pass through payments to affected t�ing entities. <br />Downtown No. 1 Project Area <br />Downtown 1'�to. 1 project values are flat due to its developed chazacter. No major <br />changes in values are projected. The project azea's tax increment stream is largely <br />